What is Black December?
December seems to be the time of year when many on-line investment programs close, leaving a lot of people at a financial loss. November and even October are sometimes included in this 'black' category. One theory for this phenomenon is that members of the programs pull out so much money to make holiday purchases that the programs are unable to sustain themselves (which would certainly be the case for any ponzi). Another theory is that so many people have come to expect the effect that they become overly cautious and the result is a self-fulfilling prophecy (that is, they get what they expect just because their expectation modifies their behavior). There might be something to this theory since it is well known that the stocks and bonds markets ebb and flow in accordance with the fears and expectations of buyers and sellers. Whatever the cause, as we approach the last quarter of the year, it would definitely not be wise to break any of the on-line investing rules that I have discussed in previous blog postings.